Around The Corner Blog

Tag: ralph nader

    Is the Tea Party the real deal?

    By now, we have all heard of the Tea Party movement.  I like to believe the Tea Party movement is an assortment of Republicans, Democrats, Libertarians and Independents with one binding mentality– the government no longer represents them or their interest.

     

    President Abraham Lincoln once proclaimed, “Government of the people, by the people, for the people, shall not perish from the Earth.”

     

    The peaceful gatherings and raising of voices this summer helped slow down the health care reform process.  This collection of in-tune political participants became a force to be reckon with, but the question is – how much of a force?

     

    Politico ran an article this weekend titled, “Tea party candidates falling short.”  The underlying question posed in the article was “can an organic and fledgling movement that lacks the institutional grounding and top down organizational strength of either major political party transfer protest-oriented grass-roots energy into tangible success at the polls.”

     

    Outside of the snarky tone of the post by Alex Isenstadt, I think Alex misses the accomplishments of the Tea Party thus far.  They are simply raising the bar of discourse in this country.  They are challenging Republicans to re-discover their conservative roots or face a tough primary.  They are forcing transparency and openness in a federal government controlled by one party.  They are making politicians answer their questions; otherwise face a potential public relations snafu.

     

    Although, the Tea Party might not have electoral success this year – given the two-party system, they are steps ahead any other recent third party movement in this country.  Just think about how many times Ralph Nader has been on the ballot.

     

    As this contentious 2010 election cycle moves forward, it will be very interesting to see the impact made by the Tea Party. 

     

    What sort of impact do you see the Tea Party having in 2010? 

    Third Party Presidential win in 2012?

    Poll after poll, talk shows and political pundits are focusing in on the growing unhappiness of the American public with their leaders.  A CNN/Opinion Research poll released yesterday indicates 38% of people would consider voting for a third party candidate for president under any circumstances. 64% were in favor of having a third political party run candidates for President, Congress and state offices.  Can a third party candidate win the presidency?  Will there be a Tea Party presidential candidate?  While there may be a hunger amongst the public for alternatives to the two major parties the chances are slim. 

    National Tea Party Convention LogoAny third party candidate needs to overcome the built in advantages both parties have in getting on the ballot.  Third party candidates need to incur the expense of gathering thousands and in some states tens of thousands of signatures many months in advance to get on the ballot.  The two main party candidates don’t have to collect any signatures to be on the ballot in November. 1992 Presidential Debate

    What’s more likely to occur in 2012 is third party candidates getting on the ballot in select states and perhaps deciding the election.  Remember what happened in Florida in 2000, an election George Bush won by less than a 1,000 votes, Green Party candidate Ralph Nader received 97,488 votes in Florida, far more than the combined 40,000 votes of the other third party candidates in Florida.   In 1992, Ross Perot received 19% of the vote nationwide, in some states that number was 25-30%. 

    While there is clearly dissatisfaction today with Washington and incumbents from both political parties, translating that anger into viable third party campaign in 2012 is very remote.  Given our current political system, the only chance a third party candidate could win the presidential election in 2012 or in the near future is if they can self finance and even then, they would need to invest hundreds of millions of dollars to overcome the built in advantages enjoyed by the two main parties.